Home Europe YouGov: Boris Johnson on course for 68-seat majority in UK election

YouGov: Boris Johnson on course for 68-seat majority in UK election

by editor

LONDON — Boris Johnson is on course to win a 68-seat majority in the U.K. general election, according to a major new poll.

The YouGov seat prediction survey — which accurately predicted that Theresa May would lose her majority in 2017 — said the Tories would win 359 seats (up 42) with Labour dropping to 211 (down 51) if the election were held tomorrow.

The prediction will hand a boost to the Conservative campaign, and suggests the prime minister will have enough MPs to ensure Britain will leave the EU on January 31.

It serves a blow to the Labour party, suggesting the Tories will snatch 44 seats, including in some in its northern heartlands.

According to the poll, the Lib Dems would win 13 seats (up one), the SNP would win 43 (up 8), and Plaid Cymru and the Green Party would keep their four seats and one seat respectively.

However, some commentators warn that predictions of a Tory victory could in themselves impact the result because Conservative voters may be less inclined to turnout if they think the party is on course for a clear victory.

The so-called MRP poll — Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification — was done by interviewing 100,000 people and feeding the results through a demographic analysis.

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