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Trump’s new tariffs escalate trade tensions with China and Southeast Asia

by editor

In a bold move, President Donald Trump unveiled a new set of tariffs that will affect nearly all of the United States’ trading partners, specifically targeting China with significant increases. During a recent address, Trump asserted his respect for Chinese President Xi Jinping but emphasized that China has been taking advantage of the U.S. for too long. He referred to a chart displaying trade barriers imposed by various nations, highlighting that China is responsible for the highest tariffs at 67% on U.S. goods.

“If you look at that… China, first row, 67%. That’s tariffs charged to the USA, including currency manipulation and trade barriers,” Trump explained. He proposed a reciprocal tariff of 34% against China, indicating that the U.S. would charge less in comparison to the tariffs imposed by China. However, this has not gone unnoticed by Beijing, which quickly denounced the tariffs as “a typical act of unilateral bullying” and vowed to implement “resolute countermeasures to safeguard its rights and interests.”

Impact on Southeast Asia

The ramifications of these tariffs extend beyond China, affecting several Southeast Asian nations such as Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos. Following the announcement, tariffs on Chinese imports are set to escalate from 20% to 54% within a week. Additionally, Trump has introduced tariffs of 46% to 49% on goods from Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia, impacting these countries’ economies heavily dependent on Chinese investment.

Experts suggest that this series of tariffs represents a strategic move rather than mere retaliation. Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management referred to these actions as “a full-frontal assault on Beijing’s extended supply chain,” while Deborah Elms from the Hinrich Foundation noted that the increasing levies against China could provoke a fierce response. “China and the Chinese will have to retaliate. They are not going to be able to sit back and watch this,” she stated.

Future of trade relations

The situation has stirred concerns regarding the broader implications for U.S.-China relations. Some analysts predict that China’s response could be robust, potentially complicating operations for U.S. companies in the region. Professor Pushan Dutt emphasized that the new tariffs could force China to strengthen its domestic demand and forge alliances with other affected Asian nations. “In the end, the US could be losing all the influence and isolate itself,” he said, highlighting the necessity for Asian countries to collaborate against protectionism.

As tensions escalate, discussions among China, South Korea, and Japan have resumed, focusing on accelerating talks for a free trade agreement that had been proposed over a decade ago. Although these negotiations may take time, they could reshape the trade landscape in the coming years. Meanwhile, U.S. manufacturers in Southeast Asia are bracing for potential layoffs as tariffs loom, marking a significant shift in the trade dynamics of the region.

“Ultimately, the US and China are headed for a negotiating table where they’ll try to reach some type of a grand bargain on a wide range of issues,” said Stephen Olson, a former U.S. trade negotiator.

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